The Iran War and Your Portfolio: History, Energy Risk, and What to Watch
The S&P 500 fell just two percent in the first week of the Iran conflict. But a closer look at markets tells a different story. The rotation paused. Here's what history says, why the "do nothing" playbook carries more risk this time, and the five signals I'm watching.
Healthy Skepticism
Your exposure to AI isn't binary. It's a dial.
In this month's brief, I'm walking through the narrative shift that happened in November. The skepticism that's both healthy and necessary, and how to think about positioning into year end.
It's not about being right or wrong on AI. It's about not getting caught asleep at the wheel.
2026: Big Housing Shift -Part 2
Lower 10-year Treasury yields are only step one. The real unlock for housing — and potentially the S&P 493 — depends on whether the Fed and agency action can compress the mortgage spread. Here's how the mechanics work and what it means for equity markets in 2026.